The South Creek Flood Study has been undertaken to define the nature and extent of
flooding in the South Creek Catchment for a range of design events. The 466 hectare
catchment is located on the north-eastern side of Lake Macquarie on Warners Bay and
includes the suburbs of Warners Bay, Eleebana, Mount Hutton, and Tingira Heights.
The catchment is defined by the higher elevations in the north, east, and south sides of the
catchment. Runoff is conveyed to the main channel of South Creek in the centre of the
catchment through several tributaries and drainage depressions from the ridgeline. Landuse
in the catchment is predominantly low-density residential and rural-residential with areas
of bushland in the higher elevations.
A questionnaire was delivered to residents in the catchment floodplain to identify flooding
awareness and specific accounts of flood inundation. Sixty-eight out of the eighty-seven
responses advised they recalled the flood event of June 2007, twelve recalled a flood event
in March 1990, and thirteen in April 1988. Several respondents noted that the June 2007
event was the worst they could recall. Twenty-three respondents advised they had
experienced flood inundation in the house. The draft report was placed on public exhibition
from 26 April to 21 May 2010 inviting submissions for the Study.
Hydrologic and hydraulic modelling was undertaken to assess flood behaviour within the
catchment. The SOBEK 1D/2D model from WL|Delft Hydraulics Laboratory was used to
model the catchment and to hydraulically route overland flood flows. The SOBEK modelling
of the South Creek catchment utilises the Direct Rainfall (‘rainfall-on-grid’) methodology for
developing the hydrology. In the model, rainfall is applied directly to the 2D terrain, and the
hydraulic model automatically routes the flow. The model was calibrated to flood marks and
reports from the June 2007 event.
Flood behaviour was modelled for the 50% Annual Exceedance Probability (AEP), 20%,
10%, 5%, 2%, 1%, and 0.5% AEP and for the Probable Maximum Flood (PMF), with the
Lake level and rainfall pattern for the same respective AEP event. A 2 hour storm is the
critical duration (up to the 0.5% AEP) for the catchment resulting in the highest peak water
levels. Figures showing the peak water levels, peak flood depths, and peak flow velocity are
included in Volume 2 of the Flood Study report.